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November 13, 2023

Capital Markets: Converts are Back in Vogue

During the darkest days of the pandemic, convertible debt offerings were an attractive capital raising alternative, and as we blogged at the time, even large cap issuers that traditionally shied away from converts opted to take the plunge. While the convertible debt market remained pretty robust in 2020 & 2021, interest in converts petered out last year. However, a recent Institutional Investor article says that interest in convertible debt issuances has surged again in recent months:

The market for convertible bonds, the interest-paying securities that bondholders can choose to turn into common stock, is stirring again and attracting investors.

Convertible bonds typically mature in five years and are issued by less creditworthy companies — 76 percent of issuers don’t have a credit rating and most of the others have a BBB rating or lower from one of the major agencies, according to research by Calamos Investments. But higher interest rates are causing even the healthiest companies to use convertible bonds to raise capital. Through September of this year, companies across the globe sold $61 billion worth of convertible bonds and out of the $42 billion raised by U.S. companies, almost a third of them have investment grade ratings.

“That’s a bit of a change from the previous few years in that it was a much smaller percentage than before,” said David Hulme, managing director and portfolio manager at Advent Capital Management, which specializes in convertible bonds. “I think that’s been driven partially by a change in the way companies account for the issuance of convertibles.”

Back in 2020, companies were attracted to converts as an alternative to issuing equity during a period of downward pressure on stocks. This time, it looks like it’s the ability to mitigate the impact of the current interest rate environment along with depressed stock prices that’s making companies consider convertible debt issuances. Like Mark Twain supposedly said, history never repeats itself, but sometimes it rhymes.

John Jenkins